Real Estate Values are Likely to Continue to Decrease
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Monday, January 19, 2026
The mortgage lock-in effect may be starting to ease.
There are more mortgage holders with 6%+ rates than sub 3% mortgages for the first time since 2020.
As more existing homeowners have higher interest rates they may be more willing to sell their homes. More houses for sale likely will lead to reduced prices.
Lennar, then second largest homebuilder in the US, were selling homes for $500,000+ in 2022. Now, they are selling new homes for $375,000. This is is a 27% price drop in 3 years.
Inventory influences housing prices.
Housing prices are projected to decline an additional 10% in areas that inventory is at or above pre-pandemic levels. Pandemic boom areas are projected to decline an additional 20%.
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